The Message From Scotland: Autism Up In Schools 13.6 Times In 16 Years And Accelerating – AGE OF AUTISM
By John Stone
Autism in Scottish schools rose from 820 cases in 1998 to 9,946 in 2013. We have to consider what it means in a civilised nation when you have to look after an autism rate of 1 in 30. Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s First Minister, needs to stop being re-assured by the UK Department of Health in Westminster that they know what they are doing and everything is completely control. They don’t and it isn’t.
While the UK Treasury and Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne contemplate how to trim billions from government spending they might like to bear in mind the projected cost to the British economy of autism, calculated a London School of Economics academic at an £34 billion ($54b) in 2013 and modestly downsized to £32b ($51b): this was up about 20 times from the greater than £1b figure calculated in 2001. But if as we shall see the basis of Prof Knapp’s calculations maybe erroneous we are hurtling to a situation where the costs will be even worse. The problem is dramatically highlighted by the numbers of Autism Spectrum Disorder cases recorded in Scottish schools from 1998 to 2013 (it is worth concentrating on Scotland because the figures go back further and are more comprehensive than for England): in Scotland the figures rose from 820 cases in 1998 to 9,946 in 2013: allowing for the change in overall numbers this was 1 in 925 in 1998 and 1 in 68 in 2013. However, this in itself disguises the fact that the 2013 figure combines a lower rate in older students with a much higher rate in younger students: the present rate for children entering the system in the last five years will much higher than 1 in 68, and is perhaps conservatively in the region of 1 in 30 (data supplied by the Scottish Executive).
Thank you, John, for this critical post.
Just like all elected officials, Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s First Minister, has been told by health officials that an ever-increasing rate in a neuro-developmental disorder that overwhelmingly affects children is nothing to worry about. This is true in Britain, the U.S. and everywhere else in the world. They all just pretend that everything that can be done about autism is being done. Inconclusive studies linking autism to a vast array of things are regularly announced. Every periodic jump in the rate comes with the assurance that officials aren’t sure if THIS INCREASE means MORE KIDS ACTUALLY HAVE AUTISM.
No matter how bad the numbers, autism has never been a crisis to anyone in charge.
Doctors (with their “better diagnosing”) are routinely given credit for the fact that everyone knows someone with an affected child.
All the people who have knowingly covered up the truth have to be nervous. This damaged generation as dependent adults will come with a price tag no country can afford. The best evidence that autism is an epidemic of recent origin is the universal lack of services for adults. Something has dramatically impacted the health of our children and the response of health officials and mainstream doctors has been to deny anything is wrong.
The clock is ticking louder and louder. The inevitable impact autism will have on the taxpayers can’t be hidden away. And when the cost of the autism epidemic becomes a worldwide economic disaster, the public will demand to know why no one did anything to stop it. How could those in charge of our children’s health have closed their eyes to the suffering of so many?
Sturgeon and everyone else promoting the lies about autism will have a lot to answer for.
Anne Dachel, Media